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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64

Rolex Paris Masters - ParisR64HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tsitsipas S.6.1/10
Even match
Tien L.6.2/10
Even match
Why
Surface+102 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tien L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1941Supports Tien L.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Tien L.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 057
Hard ELO1 910
Last 107–3
Age28
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $38.2M2026 $1.4M
ELO2 058
Hard ELO1 932
Last 104–6
Age20
Height180 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $5.0M2026 $1.9M

Stefanos Tsitsipas faces Learner Tien in the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris round of 64 on hard. Learner Tien is the paper favourite — ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Stefanos Tsitsipas arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Learner Tien's 4 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months

Tsitsipas S. and Tien L. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tsitsipas S. went 5–5 (50%) against them, Tien L. 5–5 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).

5–550%Tsitsipas S. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents5–550%Tien L. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
13–13Sets12–12
132–128Games121–108
3–2Tiebreaks1–1
1–2Deciding sets2–0
Show 6 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Tien L. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Tsitsipas S.Tien L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate64% (39–22) (ahead)61% (34–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20572058 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO19101932 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won78% (ahead)71%
Return points won34%38% (ahead)
Aces / match7.8 (ahead)5.8
ClutchLast 58 vs 52 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast9°C · Partly cloudy
Wind8 km/h
Humidity80%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Tsitsipas S.Tien L.
8 — fresherDays since last match4
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
0 — fresherGames · 7 days34
4Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
97Games · 14 days34 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien — Rolex Paris Masters - Paris Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/tien-vs-tsitsipas-rolex-paris-masters-paris-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).