Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee

UMPIRY

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00

Katerina SiniakovaWTA #86 · CZE54%

VSToss-up

Lanlana Tararudee(3)WTA #53 · THA46%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Siniakova K.7.3/10

Strong advantage

Tararudee L.5.4/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+121 Hard Elo edgeSupports Siniakova K.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1846Supports Siniakova K.

Recent run5-match win streakSupports Siniakova K.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Siniakova K.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 919

Hard ELO1 785

Last 107–3

Age30

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $18.2M2026 $3.3M

ELO1 822

Hard ELO1 741

Last 105–5

Age22

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $705K

Katerina Siniakova faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Katerina Siniakova holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Under pressure: Lanlana Tararudee has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 70 vs Katerina Siniakova's 33).
Form trend: Katerina Siniakova's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Lanlana Tararudee's has cooled.
Fatigue load: Katerina Siniakova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Siniakova K. and Tararudee L. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Siniakova K. went 4–3 (57%) against them, Tararudee L. 4–4 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

4–357%Siniakova K. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–450%Tararudee L. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

8–6Sets10–11

68–59Games91–101

0–1Tiebreaks2–1

0–1Deciding sets3–2

vs Zheng Q.#22W6-4 6-4Wimbledon · grassW6-3 6-4Toronto · hard
vs Bartunkova N.#29L2-6 4-6Wimbledon · grassW7-6(4) 3-6 7-6(6)Livesport Prague Open · hard
vs Krueger A.#55W6-1 6-0Japan Open - Osaka · hardL3-6 1-6Japan Open - Osaka · hard

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vs McNally C.#59L3-6 6-2 6-7Madrid · clayL4-6 6-4 1-6Wuhan · hard
vs Osorio Serrano M.#68L1-6 4-6Miami · hardL3-6 3-6Beijing · hard
vs Kalieva E.#113W6-3 6-4Madrid · clayW6-3 6-7(4) 6-2US Open · hard
vs Waltert S.#125W6-4Roland Garros · clayW6-2 3-6 6-2Manila 125 · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Siniakova K. leads 1–0

Siniakova K.July 2025Warsaw 125Hard6-1 1-6 7-5

Evidence

Siniakova K.Tararudee L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate52% (22–20)66% (47–24)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19191822

Hard-court ELO17851741

Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 69 matches

1st-serve points won64%69%

Return points won44%46%

Aces / match1.84.3

ClutchLast 41 vs 69 matches

Break points saved60%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast28°C · Clear

Wind12 km/h

Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Siniakova K.Tararudee L.

1Days since last match4

4Matches · 7 days2

69Games · 7 days37

5Matches · 14 days5

96Games · 14 days103

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/siniakova-vs-tararudee-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).