Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana TararudeeLivesport Prague Open Round of 16

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 16
#44WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLLW
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#82WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWLWLL
Bartunkova N.
vs
Tararudee L.

Nikola Bartunkova faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Livesport Prague Open round of 16 on hard. Nikola Bartunkova is the paper favourite — ranked #44, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage — but Lanlana Tararudee rides a 6-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Bartunkova N.64%
Tararudee L.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bartunkova N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+33 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1686
6.4Overall Elo 1788
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1678
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bartunkova N.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Tararudee L.

Tararudee L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bartunkova N.

Serve advantage — Tararudee L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
72
70
Break points saved·Even
76
77
Break points won·Even
90
86
Deciding sets·Even
75
74
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
62

Bartunkova N.: 18 days rest · Tararudee L.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw