Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger

UMPIRY

Japan Open - OsakaR16HardWed 21 Oct · 11:30Court 1 · Next on

Lanlana TararudeeWTA #53 · THA45%

VSToss-up

Ashlyn KruegerWTA #55 · USA55%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tararudee L.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Krueger A.6.5/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+37 Hard Elo edgeSupports Krueger A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1791Supports Krueger A.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Krueger A.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Krueger A.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 828

Hard ELO1 749

Last 105–5

Age22

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $705K

ELO1 910

Hard ELO1 741

Last 105–5

Age22

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $925K

Lanlana Tararudee faces Ashlyn Krueger in the Japan Open - Osaka round of 16 on hard. Ashlyn Krueger holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Ashlyn Krueger grades 44 on serve, Lanlana Tararudee 42 on return.
Fatigue load: Lanlana Tararudee carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Ashlyn Krueger leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Wuhan 2026.

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Tararudee L. and Krueger A. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tararudee L. went 2–3 (40%) against them, Krueger A. 5–1 (83%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 2 better-results split).

2–340%Tararudee L. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents5–183%Krueger A. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

5–7Sets10–3

55–62Games67–52

2–2Tiebreaks2–0

1–1Deciding sets1–0

vs Bartunkova N.#29W7-6(4) 3-6 7-6(6)Livesport Prague Open · hardL2-6 2-6Rome · clay
vs Snigur D.#40L0-6 3-6Livesport Prague Open · hardW6-3 6-2Wimbledon · grass
vs Tjen J.#46L6-7 6-7Chennai · hardW6-4 6-4Japan Open - Osaka · hard

Show 2 more ▾Show less ▴

vs McNally C.#59Hard to compareL4-6 6-4 1-6Wuhan · hardW6-4 1-6 6-3Charleston · clay
vs Iatcenko P.#154Hard to compareW6-0 6-2Chennai · hardW7-6 6-1Wimbledon · grass

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Krueger A. leads 1–0

Krueger A.October 2026WuhanHard2-6 6-1 6-1

Evidence

Tararudee L.Krueger A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–55–5

Season win rate67% (47–23)61% (35–22)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18281910

Hard-court ELO17491741

Serve vs returnLast 68 vs 57 matches

1st-serve points won69%65%

Return points won46%44%

Aces / match4.34.6

ClutchLast 68 vs 57 matches

Break points saved57%59%

When it starts

Court 1 · Next on · Starting at 11:30 AM

1This match: Tararudee L. v Krueger A.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · 11:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast27°C · Clear

Wind12 km/h

Humidity75%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Tararudee L.Krueger A.

1Days since last match1

2Matches · 7 days4

43Games · 7 days74

5Matches · 14 days6

110Games · 14 days112

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lanlana Tararudee vs Ashlyn Krueger — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/krueger-vs-tararudee-japan-open-osaka-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).