Ashlyn Krueger vs Polina Iatcenko — Wimbledon Qualifying Final

Wimbledon · WTA · Qualifying Final
USA2
Ashlyn Krueger
#67WTA
1791ELO
1717Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
grass
Polina Iatcenko
RUS
Polina Iatcenko
#149WTA
1605ELO
1617Grass ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLWW
Krueger A.
7-6 6-1
Iatcenko P.
Krueger A.
762
Iatcenko P.
610

Ashlyn Krueger won the Wimbledon final, defeating Polina Iatcenko 7-6, 6-1. Krueger served 7 aces to Iatcenko's 4 and converted all 4 of her break points, compared to Iatcenko's 1 out of 3. Krueger won 4 service breaks to Iatcenko's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ashlyn Krueger came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Krueger A.Iatcenko P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Krueger A.77%
Iatcenko P.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Krueger A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Krueger A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Iatcenko P.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+93 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1505
7.1Overall Elo 1734
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1564
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Krueger A.Iatcenko P.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
98

Krueger A.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Iatcenko P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw