Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Fils | Basel Round of 64

UMPIRY

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 11:00

Hubert HurkaczATP #30 · POL34%

VSSlight edge · Fils A.

Arthur Fils(2)ATP #10 · FRA66%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Fils A.

34%66%

Fils A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Hurkacz H.6.1/10

Even match

Fils A.7.0/10

Strong advantage

Why

Surface+203 Hard Elo edgeSupports Fils A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 2001Supports Fils A.

Travel7h west, 12d agoInformative

Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO2 073

Hard ELO1 917

Last 107–3

Age29

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $20.6M2026 $1.8M

ELO2 152

Hard ELO1 963

Last 107–3

Age22

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $9.5M2026 $3.4M

Hubert Hurkacz faces Arthur Fils in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Arthur Fils holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Hubert Hurkacz comes in with 12 days of rest and 55 games in 14d, vs Arthur Fils's 1 and 81.
Serve & return: Hubert Hurkacz brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 70), Arthur Fils the stronger return game (Return Rating 47).
Head-to-head: Arthur Fils leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Wimbledon 2024.

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months

Hurkacz H. and Fils A. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Hurkacz H. went 3–8 (27%) against them, Fils A. 7–4 (64%). Fils A. came out better against 5 of 9 comparable opponents, Hurkacz H. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event, retirement).

3–827%Hurkacz H. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents7–464%Fils A. · better vs 5

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

14–17Sets16–12

157–159Games149–135

4–2Tiebreaks3–3

1–4Deciding sets4–2

vs Zverev A.#2W6-3 6-4United Cup · hardL2-6 3-6Indian Wells Masters · hard
vs De Minaur A.#8L4-6 2-3Beijing · hardW6-3 6-4Cincinnati · hard
vs Tiafoe F.#9L4-6 4-6Roland Garros · clayW6-3 1-6 6-0Cincinnati · hard

Show 6 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Paul T.#15W4-6 7-6 7-5 6-2Wimbledon · grassW6-7 7-6 7-6Miami Masters · hard
vs Vacherot V.#32L7-6 3-6 4-6Monte Carlo Masters · clayW6-4 6-7 6-4Miami Masters · hard
vs Van De Zandschulp B.#38L6-3 6-7 5-7Montreal · hardL5-7 4-6Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Struff J.#58L6-3 7-6 6-7 5-7 2-4Wimbledon · grassL4-6 7-6(7) 6-7(5)European Open - Brussels · hard
vs Damm M.#107W4-6 6-3 6-4Chengdu · hardW2-6 6-1 6-1Tokyo · hard
vs Fucsovics M.#141L6-3s Hertogenbosch · grassW6-3 7-5Indian Wells Masters · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Fils A. leads 1–0

Fils A.July 2024WimbledonGrass7-6 6-4 2-6 6-6

Evidence

Hurkacz H.Fils A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–37–3

Season win rate63% (36–21)74% (39–14)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO20732152

Hard-court ELO19171963

Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 52 matches

1st-serve points won79%75%

Return points won35%37%

Aces / match14.15.8

ClutchLast 56 vs 52 matches

Break points saved71%67%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast11°C · Overcast

Wind4 km/h

Humidity69%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Hurkacz H.Fils A.

12Days since last match1

0Matches · 7 days2

0Games · 7 days59

2Matches · 14 days3

55Games · 14 days81

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Fils — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/fils-vs-hurkacz-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).