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Sara Bejlek vs Xiyu Wang — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32

Ningbo Open - NingboR32HardMon 19 Oct · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bejlek S.6.1/10
Even match
Wang X.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+25 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Bejlek S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1776Against the prediction · Bejlek S.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Bejlek S.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Bejlek S.
ELO1 897
Hard ELO1 757
Last 105–5
Age20
Height163 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.3M2026 $1.3M
ELO1 909
Hard ELO1 755
Last 106–4
Age25
Height182 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $3.6M2026 $684K

Sara Bejlek faces Xiyu Wang in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo round of 32 on hard. Sara Bejlek holds the paper edge — ranked #30, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Sara Bejlek has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 79 vs 18).
  • Head-to-head: Sara Bejlek leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Toronto 2026.
  • Fatigue load: Xiyu Wang carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

Bejlek S. and Wang X. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bejlek S. went 4–6 (40%) against them, Wang X. 2–7 (22%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 1 better-results split).

4–640%Bejlek S. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents2–722%Wang X. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–13Sets4–13
93–107Games58–87
2–3Tiebreaks0–1
1–0Deciding sets1–0
Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Bejlek S. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Bejlek S.Wang X.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (24–21)71% (48–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18971909 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1757 (ahead)1755
Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won60%61% (ahead)
Return points won45%52% (ahead)
Aces / match1.2 (ahead)0.7
ClutchLast 42 vs 48 matches
Break points saved54%61% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Mainly clear
Wind6 km/h
Humidity63%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bejlek S.Wang X.
6 — fresherDays since last match5
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
19 — fresherGames · 7 days47
2Matches · 14 days2
42 — fresherGames · 14 days47
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sara Bejlek vs Xiyu Wang — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/bejlek-vs-wang-ningbo-open-ningbo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).