Lilli Tagger vs Sara BejlekAthens Round of 16

Athens · WTA · Round of 16
#84WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10
WWLLLLWLWL
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#42WTA
1776ELO
1749Hard ELO
$575kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWLLL
Tagger L.
vs
Bejlek S.

Lilli Tagger faces Sara Bejlek in the Athens round of 16 on hard. Sara Bejlek holds the paper edge — ranked #42, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Tagger L.40%
Bejlek S.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bejlek S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1687
Surface ELO
5.8+61 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1684
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1776
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tagger L.Stable
Bejlek S.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tagger L.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bejlek S.

Bejlek S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Tagger L.

Serve advantage — Bejlek S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
98

Tagger L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Bejlek S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
33°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 25%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.