Lilli Tagger vs Sara BejlekLivesport Prague Open Quarter-final

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Quarter-final
#74WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10
WWLWWLLLLW
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
LIVESPORT ARENA · 3rd on
#40WTA
1776ELO
1749Hard ELO
$682kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLLWLL
Tagger L.
vs
Bejlek S.

Lilli Tagger faces Sara Bejlek in the Livesport Prague Open quarter-final on hard. Sara Bejlek holds the paper edge — ranked #40, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Tagger L.45%
Bejlek S.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1687
Surface ELO
5.8+61 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1684
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1776
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tagger L.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bejlek S.

Bejlek S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tagger L.

Serve advantage — Bejlek S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
72

Tagger L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Bejlek S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-15AthensR16hardSara Bejlek2-6 2-6

Draw