Maria Timofeeva vs Sara BejlekLivesport Prague Open Round of 16

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Round of 16
#84WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWWLWW
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#40WTA
1776ELO
1749Hard ELO
$682kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWLLL
Timofeeva M.
vs
Bejlek S.

Maria Timofeeva faces Sara Bejlek in the Livesport Prague Open round of 16 on hard. Sara Bejlek holds the paper edge — ranked #40, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Timofeeva M.32%
Bejlek S.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bejlek S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
6.8+141 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1776
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
49%
50%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Timofeeva M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Bejlek S.

Bejlek S.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
79
Break points saved·Even
76
77
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
20
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
86

Timofeeva M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Bejlek S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw