Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu WangUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Louis Armstrong Stadium · 2nd on
#80WTA
1772ELO
1724Hard ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWWW
Swiatek I.
6-2 6-3
Wang X.
Swiatek I.
662
Wang X.
230

Iga Swiatek defeated Xiyu Wang in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-3 in Swiatek's favor. Swiatek converted 33% of her break points and won three service breaks, compared to none for Wang, en route to the victory.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • It would be great to maybe have a little bit more calmer environment. But I know the fans are excited, and it also gives you a lot of energy. It's good practice for us in terms of the focus.

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis
  • I don't treat these matches like they should be easy. I don't take them for granted. I'm always ready from the beginning to put forward the intensity and I'm ready with the level.

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR16clayIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2024-04-22MadridR64clayIga Swiatek6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
63%
76%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
4
Break points saved·Dominant
87
40
Break points won·Dominant
100
33
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
6
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Swiatek I.84%
Wang X.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+298 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1724
8.6Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1772
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.59 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
97

Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Wang X.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw