Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari — Wuhan Quarter-final
Why
Surface+60 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakkari M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1833Against the prediction · Chwalinska M.
Recent run3-match win streakBoth players
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 909
Hard ELO1 676
Last 106–4
Age25
Height164 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $3.0M2026 $2.2M
ELO1 951
Hard ELO1 830
Last 107–3
Age31
Height172 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $15.3M2026 $1.6M
Maja Chwalinska faces Maria Sakkari in the Wuhan quarter-final on hard. Maja Chwalinska holds the paper edge — ranked #22. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on hard.
Key context
- Serve & return: Maria Sakkari leads on Serve Rating (49), Maja Chwalinska on Return Rating (78).
- Freshness: Maja Chwalinska comes in with 1 days of rest and 54 games in 14d, vs Maria Sakkari's 2 and 82.
- Last match: Maja Chwalinska dropped just 5 games past Iva Jovic.
Common opponents
8 shared · last 12 monthsChwalinska M. and Sakkari M. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Chwalinska M. went 2–6 (25%) against them, Sakkari M. 4–5 (44%). Sakkari M. came out better against 3 of 8 comparable opponents, Chwalinska M. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event).
2–625%Chwalinska M. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–544%Sakkari M. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–12Sets10–11
67–83Games93–99
0–0Tiebreaks0–1
0–2Deciding sets2–1
vs Andreeva M.#3L3-6 2-6Roland Garros · clayL0-6 4-6Australian Open · hard
vs Zheng Q.#23W6-4 6-0Roland Garros · clayL6-4 4-6Nottingham · grass
vs Fernandez L.#25L6-1 4-6 2-6Singapore · hardL6-7 4-6Tokyo · hard
Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Gibson T.#41L5-7 1-6Toronto · hardL1-6 6-4 2-6Singapore · hard
vs Parks A.#64L6-3 2-6 2-6Monterrey · hardW6-4 6-3Athens · hard
vs Jeanjean L.#94L4-6 2-6Colina 125 · clayW6-4 6-2Australian Open · hard
vs Raducanu E.#107L0-6 4-6Cluj-Napoca · hardW6-3 3-6 6-1United Cup · hard- vs Montgomery R.#153W6-2 6-0Oeiras 125 · clayW2-6 7-5 6-2US Open · hard
Head-to-head
2 meetings · level 1–111
- Chwalinska M.May 2026Roland GarrosClay6-1 3-6 2-6
- Sakkari M.May 2025RomeClay3-6 6-3 6-1
Evidence
Chwalinska M.Sakkari M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate68% (36–17) (ahead)57% (26–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19091951 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16761830 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 45 matches
1st-serve points won60%65% (ahead)
Return points won50% (ahead)43%
Aces / match0.73.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 52 vs 45 matches
Break points saved53%57% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari — Wuhan Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-16/chwalinska-vs-sakkari-wuhan-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 16 October 2026).