Leylah Fernandez vs Maria SakkariTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 32
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Fernandez L.
7-6 6-4
Sakkari M.
Fernandez L.
7762
Sakkari M.
6540

Leylah Fernandez defeated Maria Sakkari 7-6 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. Leylah Fernandez narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardLeylah Fernandez6-2 6-0
2024-01-01United CupRRhardMaria Sakkari7-6(2) 6-3
2023-07-31WashingtonR16hardMaria Sakkari7-5 6-2
2021-02-03Grampians TrophyR16hardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fernandez L.Sakkari M.
60
Serve
24
27
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
81
Break points saved·Even
95
94
Break points won·Slight edge
95
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
75
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Hard Elo 1785
Surface ELO
4.8+11 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1812
3.9
H2H
6.1
7.7
Surface form
3.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
8.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
90

Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%