Maria Sakkari vs Maja ChwalinskaRome Qualifying Round 2

Rome · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#43WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
clay
#21WTA
1833ELO
1801Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Sakkari M.
3-6 6-3 6-1
Chwalinska M.
Sakkari M.
3662
Chwalinska M.
6311

Maria Sakkari defeated Maja Chwalinska 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the Rome qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maja Chwalinska came in ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Maria Sakkari claimed a first win over Maja Chwalinska in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-30Roland GarrosR32clayMaja Chwalinska6-1 3-6 2-6

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Chwalinska M.

Chwalinska M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
65
Break points saved·Dominant
94
50
Break points won·Slight edge
87
98
Deciding sets·Even
76
80
Tiebreaks·
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7Clay Elo 1754
Surface ELO
4.3+47 Clay Elo edge
6.1Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1833
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
96

Sakkari M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Chwalinska M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast