Maria Sakkari vs Robin MontgomeryUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#33WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 1st on
#187WTA
1739ELO
1649Hard ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWWW
Sakkari M.
2-6 7-5 6-2
Montgomery R.
Sakkari M.
2762
Montgomery R.
6521

Maria Sakkari defeated Robin Montgomery in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 7-5, 6-2 in Sakkari's favor. Sakkari hit 5 aces and committed 4 double faults, while converting 43% of break points and winning 6 service breaks, compared to Montgomery's 7 aces, 5 double faults, 56% break point conversion, and 5 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • That's my highlight of my day. You know, I'm done with practice and treatment, and then I can get dressed and go have a good dinner. Food wise, I think New York is the best place – after Greece, of course.

    Sakkari M.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
55
Break points saved·Even
78
81
Break points won·Dominant
91
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
65
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Sakkari M.52%
Montgomery R.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+147 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1649
5.9Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1739
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
66

Sakkari M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Montgomery R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw