Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Round of 32

AUS

Daria Kasatkina

#66WTA

1823ELO

1718Grass ELO

29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWWWWW

1 — 2

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 13:00

grass

COURT 3 · 2nd on

USAQ

Robin Montgomery

#484WTA

1671ELO

1633Grass ELO

21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLLWLWLLW

Robin Montgomery recovered from a set down to defeat Daria Kasatkina 5-7 6-0 6-4 in the s Hertogenbosch round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 2: A 13-point game with four deuces went Robin Montgomery's way.
Set 2, game 2: Robin Montgomery broke serve.
Pressure points: Daria Kasatkina converted 5 of 10 break points; Robin Montgomery converted 8 of 11 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC

Kasatkina D.67%

Montgomery R.33%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kasatkina D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kasatkina D.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Montgomery R.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

6.1+85 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.9Grass Elo 1633

6.8Overall Elo 1823

ELO gap

3.2Overall Elo 1671

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.85 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.08 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Kasatkina D.

7041

Montgomery R.

5662