Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano NavoneUS Open Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Round of 64
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
1 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
Court 12 · 3rd on
#49ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLW
Berrettini M.
6-3 3-6 4-6 6-7
Navone M.
Berrettini M.
634641
Navone M.
366773

Mariano Navone defeated Matteo Berrettini in the Round of 64 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 in favor of Navone. Navone served 5 aces and committed 4 double faults, while Berrettini had 15 aces and 6 double faults; Navone converted 43% of break points and broke Berrettini's serve 3 times, compared to Berrettini's 2 service breaks and 22% break point conversion.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Navone secured a major upset victory over Novak Djokovic in five sets in the first round, with Djokovic battling illness throughout the match.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-03MontrealR128hardMariano Navone3-6 7-6(5) 3-6
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR64clayMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4
2024-04-01MarrakechSFclayMatteo Berrettini6-7 6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
53
Break points saved·Clear edge
100
79
Break points won·Dominant
42
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
24
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Berrettini M.73%
Navone M.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Berrettini M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+104 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1693
5.1Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1822
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
70

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 41 games (7d) · Navone M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw