Matteo Berrettini vs Alexandre MullerMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#126ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Berrettini M.
6-4 6-2
Muller A.
Berrettini M.
662
Muller A.
420

Matteo Berrettini defeated Alexandre Muller 6-4 6-2 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Muller A.
57
Serve
11
10
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
94
Break points won·Slight edge
53
44
Deciding sets·Even
91
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.8+167 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1630
6.5Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
4.6
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
73
98

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d) · Muller A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%