Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini — US Open Round of 64
ITA19
Paolini J.Jasmine Paolini defeated Lucrezia Stefanini in the Round of 64 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-1 in Paolini's favor. Paolini converted 62% of her break points and secured 5 service breaks, compared to Stefanini's 2 service breaks and 50% break point conversion rate.
Key context
- Match story: Jasmine Paolini dropped just 5 games past Lucrezia Stefanini.
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-25 | Courmayeur | R16 | hard | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2014-06-16 | Civitavecchia 10K | R32 | clay | Jasmine Paolini | 6-1 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Paolini J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadPaolini J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About