Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia StefaniniCourmayeur Round of 16

Courmayeur · WTA · Round of 16
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 October 2021
hard
#145WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Paolini J.
6-4 7-5
Stefanini L.
Paolini J.
672
Stefanini L.
450

Jasmine Paolini defeated Lucrezia Stefanini 6-4 7-5 in the Courmayeur round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Stefanini L.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Stefanini L.
31
Serve
55
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 185). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
32
Break points saved·Dominant
87
26
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
9.6+375 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Hard Elo 1497
9.9Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
0.1Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
82
86

Paolini J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Stefanini L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast