Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev — US Open Round of 64
RUS23
Merida Aguilar D.
Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Andrey Rublev in the Round of 64 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-2, 6-4, 6-4 in favor of Merida Aguilar. He converted 45% of his break points and did not concede a service break, while Rublev had one service break and 13 aces.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Key context
- Match story: Daniel Merida Aguilar dropped the opening set before beating Andrey Rublev 6–7 6–2 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Rublev A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMerida Aguilar D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 73 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About