Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca — Montreal Round of 32
NOR9
BRA22
Ruud C.
Joao Fonseca defeated Casper Ruud in the Round of 32 of the Montreal tournament, winning 7-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Fonseca hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, converting 67% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points. Ruud recorded 3 aces and 7 double faults, converting 14% of break points and winning 68% of first-serve points.
Around the match
“When he was two, we were like, 'This boy is different.'”
Fonseca J.National Bank Open ↗Despite recent injuries (back and shoulder), Fonseca achieved a notable milestone by winning his first National Bank Open match against Grand Slam finalist Tsitsipas.
Fonseca J.National Bank Open ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Joao Fonseca closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Joao Fonseca | 5-7 7-5 2-6 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadRuud C.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About