Casper Ruud vs Matteo BerrettiniTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Ruud C.
7-6 6-2
Berrettini M.
Ruud C.
7762
Berrettini M.
6420

Casper Ruud defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 6-2 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's round of 32. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Casper Ruud closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

53
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR32clayCasper Ruud7-5 2-0 RET
2023-01-02United CupRRhardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCasper Ruud6-1 6-4 7-6(4)
2022-07-18GstaadFclayCasper Ruud4-6 7-6(4) 6-2
2021-05-03Madrid MastersSFclayMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersQFclayCasper Ruud4-6 6-3 7-6(5)
2020-08-31US OpenR32hardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 6-2
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayCasper Ruud6-4 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Berrettini M.
59
Serve
57
31
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
67%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
8.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
81
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
75
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Even
97
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+91 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1797
6.3Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1831
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.4
Surface form
5.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
73

Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%