Matteo Berrettini vs Casper RuudUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Berrettini M.
6-4 6-4
Ruud C.
Berrettini M.
662
Ruud C.
440

Matteo Berrettini defeated Casper Ruud 6-4 6-4 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 6–2. Matteo Berrettini narrowed the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Berrettini edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

26
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoR16hardCasper Ruud7-6(4) 6-2
2025-05-07Rome MastersR32clayCasper Ruud7-5 2-0 RET
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCasper Ruud6-1 6-4 7-6(4)
2022-07-18GstaadFclayCasper Ruud4-6 7-6(4) 6-2
2021-05-03Madrid MastersSFclayMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersQFclayCasper Ruud4-6 6-3 7-6(5)
2020-08-31US OpenR32hardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 6-2
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayCasper Ruud6-4 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Ruud C.
57
Serve
59
10
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
68%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
53
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1797
Surface ELO
5.9+91 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1983
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
97

Berrettini M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw