James Duckworth vs Alex De MinaurMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#86ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$488kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 4th on
#7ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Duckworth J.
2-6 6-7
De Minaur A.
Duckworth J.
2660
De Minaur A.
6782

Alex De Minaur defeated James Duckworth in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-2, 7-6 on hard courts. De Minaur hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 68% of first-serve points and converting 38% of break points. He secured 3 service breaks to Duckworth's 1, advancing in the competition.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR128grassAlex De Minaur7-6 7-6 7-6
2022-07-25AtlantaR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
41%
Break points saved·Even
73%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
98
Break points won·Dominant
1
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
27
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
74
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Duckworth J.20%
De Minaur A.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · De Minaur A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
9.3+343 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 1961
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
73

Duckworth J.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw