Matthew Forbes vs Bernard Tomic — Lincoln Quarter-final

Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

USA

Matthew Forbes

#939ATP

20 yrs

Last 10

WWWWLLL

—

Sets

Friday, 17 July 2026 · 10:00

hard

AUS

Bernard Tomic

#206ATP

1475ELO

1441Hard ELO

$117kYTD

$6.8MCAREER

33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWLWLLWL

Forbes M.

Tomic B.

Matthew Forbes faces Bernard Tomic in the Lincoln quarter-final on hard. Bernard Tomic is the paper favourite — ranked #206 — but Matthew Forbes rides a 4-match win streak.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Matthew Forbes 56 games in 14 days, Bernard Tomic 77.
Last match: Matthew Forbes dropped the opening set before beating Jie Cui 6–7 7–6 6–3.
Last match: Bernard Tomic edged James Mccabe in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Forbes M.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tomic B.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.64 of last 7 on hard

Surface form

6.06 of last 10 on hard

7.04-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Forbes M.Not enough recent matches

Tomic B.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

1 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season

Forbes M.Tomic B.

1st serve in·Slight edge

52%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

72%

68%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

51%

Service points won·Even

60%

62%

Return points won·Slight edge

29%

36%

Break points saved·Clear edge

83%

65%

Aces / match·Even

4.0

4.1

Double faults / match·Dominant

6.0

1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Forbes M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Tomic B.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Forbes M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load

Forbes M.Tomic B.

Freshness·Slight edge

Forbes M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Tomic B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-slowfavours grinders

SlowFast

Weather forecast

30°CClear

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.