Matthew Forbes vs Jie Cui

Lincoln · CHALLENGER

USA

Matthew Forbes

#939ATP

20 yrs

Last 10

WWWLLL

—

Sets

Wednesday, 15 July 2026 · 10:00

hard

CHN

Jie Cui

#470ATP

1383ELO

1354Hard ELO

28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWLWWWLL

Forbes M.

Cui J.

Matthew Forbes faces Jie Cui in the Lincoln match on hard. Jie Cui is the paper favourite — ranked #470 — but Matthew Forbes rides a 3-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Matthew Forbes 27 games in 14 days, Jie Cui 0.
Win streak: Matthew Forbes arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Forbes M.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Cui J.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.83 of last 6 on hard

Surface form

5.15 of last 10 on hard

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Forbes M.Not enough recent matches

Cui J.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

1 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season

Forbes M.Cui J.

1st serve in·Slight edge

52%

63%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

72%

67%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

50%

Service points won·Even

60%

61%

Return points won·Slight edge

29%

36%

Break points saved·Clear edge

83%

59%

Aces / match·Even

4.0

3.7

Double faults / match·Dominant

6.0

2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Forbes M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cui J.

Cui J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Forbes M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About