Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez EcharguiLincoln Round of 32

Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#446ATP
1611ELO
1563Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
hard
#151ATP
1416ELO
1408Hard ELO
$171kYTD
$469kCAREER
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLLLLL
Suresh D.
vs
Echargui M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Suresh D.85%
Echargui M.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Suresh D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1408
7.4Overall Elo 1611
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1416
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.82 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Suresh D.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

3 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
80%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
80%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.3
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Suresh D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Echargui M.

Echargui M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Suresh D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
100

Suresh D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Echargui M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.