Coleman Wong vs Tung Lin Wu — Lincoln Round of 32
HKG
Wong C.
Coleman Wong faces Tung Lin Wu in the Lincoln round of 32 on hard. Coleman Wong is the paper favourite — ranked #108, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage — but Tung Lin Wu has won their only previous meeting.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Wong C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Coleman Wong 0 games in 14 days, Tung Lin Wu 88.
- Under pressure: Coleman Wong has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 43 vs Tung Lin Wu's 10).
- Head-to-head: Tung Lin Wu leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Davis Cup WG2 R1: TPE vs HKG 2022.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on hard
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-17 | Davis Cup WG2 R1: TPE vs HKG | RR | hard | Tung Lin Wu | 6-1 6-2 |