Rio Noguchi vs Dhakshineswar Suresh — Lincoln Round of 16
Noguchi R.
Rio Noguchi faces Dhakshineswar Suresh in the Lincoln round of 16 on hard. Rio Noguchi is the paper favourite — ranked #222 — but Dhakshineswar Suresh rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Suresh D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Dhakshineswar Suresh dropped the opening set before beating Moez Echargui 4–6 7–6 7–6.
- Fatigue load: Rio Noguchi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Win streak: Dhakshineswar Suresh arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadNoguchi R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Suresh D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.