Marina Bassols Ribera vs Arantxa Rus — Kitzbuhel
Bassols Ribera M.
Marina Bassols Ribera faces Arantxa Rus in the Kitzbuhel match on clay. Marina Bassols Ribera holds the paper edge — ranked #144, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Bassols Ribera M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Marina Bassols Ribera comes in with 8 days of rest and 17 games in 14d, vs Arantxa Rus's 21 and 0.
- Last match: Marina Bassols Ribera dropped just 3 games past Anna Lena Friedsam.
- Last match: Arantxa Rus handed Leonie Rabl a second-set bagel in a 6–1 6–0 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBassols Ribera M.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rus A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.