Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Gstaad Round of 16
Cerundolo J.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo faces Miomir Kecmanovic in the Gstaad round of 16 on clay. Juan Manuel Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Juan Manuel Cerundolo comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Miomir Kecmanovic's 1 and 23.
- Serve & return: Miomir Kecmanovic leads on Serve Rating (32), Juan Manuel Cerundolo on Return Rating (38).
- Last match: Juan Manuel Cerundolo dropped the opening set before beating Zdenek Kolar 4–6 6–3 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadCerundolo J.: 15 days rest · Kecmanovic M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-22 | Cordoba | R16 | clay | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6-7(3) 7-5 6-2 |