Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek KolarGstaad Round of 32

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32
#42ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#154ATP
1506ELO
1485Clay ELO
$121kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLLLW
Cerundolo J.
vs
Kolar Z.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo faces Zdenek Kolar in the Gstaad round of 32 on clay. Juan Manuel Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #42, defending last year's final, a roughly 280-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Cerundolo J.85%
Kolar Z.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cerundolo J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+277 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Clay Elo 1485
8.6Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1506
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.59 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kolar Z.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo J.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kolar Z.

Kolar Z.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
26
Break points saved·Dominant
82
53
Break points won·Dominant
80
28
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
58
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo J.Kolar Z.
19
Serve
49
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
84

Cerundolo J.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kolar Z.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 37%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final