Pedro Martinez vs Yannick HanfmannGstaad Round of 32

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32
#134ATP
1580ELO
1550Clay ELO
$335kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLLWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#56ATP
1781ELO
1741Clay ELO
$596kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLL
Martinez P.
vs
Hanfmann Y.

Pedro Martinez faces Yannick Hanfmann in the Gstaad round of 32 on clay. Yannick Hanfmann holds the paper edge — ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Martinez P.23%
Hanfmann Y.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hanfmann Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1550
Surface ELO
7.4+191 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1580
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1781
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in CHE (21)
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
7.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Martinez P.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Hanfmann Y.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Martinez P.

Serve advantage — Hanfmann Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
61
Break points saved·Even
94
95
Break points won·Clear edge
41
26
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on clay

Martinez P.Hanfmann Y.
5
Serve
61
41
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
89

Martinez P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d) · Hanfmann Y.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 37%

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-18ChengduQFhardYannick Hanfmann7-6(1) 6-2
2023-02-27SantiagoR32clayYannick Hanfmann6-2 6-0
2022-02-21SantiagoQFclayPedro Martinez6-2 6-2
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final