Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga — Umag Round of 16
Cobolli F.
Flavio Cobolli faces Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Umag round of 16 on clay. Flavio Cobolli holds the paper edge — ranked #9, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cobolli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Flavio Cobolli comes in with 6 days of rest and 195 games in 14d, vs Roman Andres Burruchaga's 7 and 44.
- Last match: Roman Andres Burruchaga dropped just 5 games past Marco Cecchinato.
- Surface form: Flavio Cobolli 3 of 4, Roman Andres Burruchaga 2 of 4 on clay recently — Flavio Cobolli the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadCobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Burruchaga R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on GORAN IVANISEVIC STADIUM STUDENAC ARENA · not before Not Before 18:00 · up next on court
- 2Cobolli F. v Burruchaga R.This match
- 3Prizmic D. v Molcan A.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.