Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti — Umag Round of 32
Jacquet K.
Kyrian Jacquet faces Marco Trungelliti in the Umag round of 32 on clay. Marco Trungelliti holds the paper edge — ranked #94, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Jacquet K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Kyrian Jacquet 64 games in 14 days, Marco Trungelliti 52.
- Head-to-head: Marco Trungelliti leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Roland Garros 2026.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJacquet K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Trungelliti M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Marco Trungelliti | 4-6 2-6 2-6 |