Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassone — Granby Round of 16
Blaise Bicknell faces Murphy Cassone in the Granby round of 16 on hard. Murphy Cassone holds the paper edge — ranked #287, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cassone M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Blaise Bicknell comes in with 14 days of rest and 17 games in 14d, vs Murphy Cassone's 6 and 26.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Murphy Cassone has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 31 vs 0).
- Last match: Murphy Cassone edged Tristan Schoolkate in three tight sets (7–5 4–6 7–6).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBicknell B.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cassone M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.