Yuta Shimizu vs Justin BoulaisGranby Round of 16

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#371ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#422ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWWWL
Shimizu Y.
vs
Boulais J.

Yuta Shimizu faces Justin Boulais in the Granby round of 16 on hard. Yuta Shimizu holds the paper edge — ranked #371, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Yuta Shimizu carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Yuta Shimizu 7 of 10, Justin Boulais 6 of 10 on hard recently — Yuta Shimizu the sharper of late.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+91 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1326
6.2Overall Elo 1446
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1352
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Shimizu Y.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Boulais J.

Boulais J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shimizu Y.

Serve advantage — Boulais J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
22
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
65
50
Break points won·Even
9
5
Deciding sets·Clear edge
27
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
93

Shimizu Y.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Boulais J.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.