Liam Draxl vs James Trotter — Granby Round of 32
CAN
Draxl L.
Liam Draxl faces James Trotter in the Granby round of 32 on hard. Liam Draxl holds the paper edge — ranked #223, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Draxl L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Liam Draxl 23 games in 14 days, James Trotter 77.
- Under pressure: Liam Draxl has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 66 vs James Trotter's 40).
- Last match: James Trotter recovered from a 0–6 opening set to beat Benjamin Thomas George.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDraxl L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Trotter J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.