Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulic — Granby Round of 16
Glinka D.
Daniil Glinka faces Philip Sekulic in the Granby round of 16 on hard. Daniil Glinka holds the paper edge — ranked #167, a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Glinka D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Philip Sekulic handed Strong Kirchheimer a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
- Fatigue load: Daniil Glinka carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGlinka D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Sekulic P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.