August Holmgren vs Aidan MayoGranby Round of 16

Granby · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#192ATP
1566ELO
1517Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$646kCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#674ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLWWLW
Holmgren A.
vs
Mayo A.

August Holmgren faces Aidan Mayo in the Granby round of 16 on hard. August Holmgren holds the paper edge — ranked #192, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1359
7.3Overall Elo 1566
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1380
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Mayo A.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.6
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Holmgren A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mayo A.

Mayo A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Holmgren A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
12
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
68
Break points won·Even
0
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
8
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
52

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
93

Holmgren A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Mayo A.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.