Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Damir Dzumhur — Umag
Prado Angelo J.
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo faces Damir Dzumhur in the Umag match on clay. Damir Dzumhur is the paper favourite — ranked #108, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage — but Juan Carlos Prado Angelo rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Damir Dzumhur has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 70 vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo's 46).
- Last match: Damir Dzumhur dropped just 3 games past Henrique Rocha.
- Stage: Damir Dzumhur defends last year's semi-final.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadPrado Angelo J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Dzumhur D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.