Andrej Nedic vs Enrico Dalla ValleCordenons Round of 32

Cordenons · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#237ATP
1515ELO
1506Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
SERENA MANIVA CENTER · 5th on
#327ATP
1462ELO
1439Clay ELO
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLW
Nedic A.
vs
Dalla Valle E.

Andrej Nedic faces Enrico Dalla Valle in the Cordenons round of 32 on clay. Andrej Nedic holds the paper edge — ranked #237, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Nedic A.66%
Dalla Valle E.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nedic A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+67 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1439
5.7Overall Elo 1515
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1462
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nedic A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Dalla Valle E.

Dalla Valle E.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Nedic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
77

Nedic A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Dalla Valle E.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

5th on SERENA MANIVA CENTER · not before Not Before 7:00 PM · 4 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Guillen Meza A. v Bondioli F.
  2. 2Martin Manzano J. v Mayot H.
  3. 3Mrva M. v Caniato C.
  4. 4Dellien H. v Xilas I.
  5. 5Nedic A. v Dalla Valle E.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CShowers
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.