Clement Chidekh vs Henry SearleNottingham 4 Final

Nottingham 4 · CHALLENGER · Final
#205ATP
1513ELO
1412Grass ELO
$92kYTD
$401kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLLLWW
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
grass
#273ATP
1540ELO
1550Grass ELO
20 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWWW
Chidekh C.
vs
Searle H.

Clement Chidekh faces Henry Searle in the Nottingham 4 final on grass. Clement Chidekh is the paper favourite — ranked #205 — but Henry Searle arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on grass to Clement Chidekh's 6.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Chidekh C.35%
Searle H.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Searle H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Clement Chidekh 6 of 10, Henry Searle 9 of 10 on grass recently — Henry Searle the sharper of late.
  • Win streak: Both arrive on four-match winning runs.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Grass Elo 1412
Surface ELO
6.7+138 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1513
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1540
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.95 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.09 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

35 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Chidekh C.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Searle H.

Searle H.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Chidekh C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
66

Chidekh C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Searle H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 44%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.