Johannus Monday vs Arda Azkara — Nottingham 4 Round of 16
Nottingham 4 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
Monday J.vs
Azkara A.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTCMonday J.82%
Azkara A.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Monday J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.1+12 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.9Grass Elo 1354
6.7Overall Elo 1443
ELO gap3.3Overall Elo 1308
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface formContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
14 vs 6 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Monday J.
Azkara A.
Planinsek F.
Gill F.
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