Patrick Brady vs Alastair GrayNottingham 4 Round of 16

Nottingham 4 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#869ATP
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#277ATP
1390ELO
1345Grass ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWLWW
Brady P.
vs
Gray A.

Patrick Brady faces Alastair Gray in the Nottingham 4 round of 16 on grass. Alastair Gray is the paper favourite — ranked #277 — but Patrick Brady rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.84 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Brady P.Stableearly
Gray A.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

6 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
31%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
7.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brady P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Gray A.

Gray A.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Brady P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
88

Brady P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Gray A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.