Clement Chidekh vs Maxime JanvierNottingham 4 Round of 32

Nottingham 4 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#205ATP
1528ELO
1420Grass ELO
$92kYTD
$401kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWWLWL
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
grass
COURT 4 · 3rd on
#572ATP
1297ELO
1347Grass ELO
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLWWW
Chidekh C.
vs
Janvier M.

Clement Chidekh faces Maxime Janvier in the Nottingham 4 round of 32 on grass. Clement Chidekh holds the paper edge — ranked #205, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Chidekh C.76%
Janvier M.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Chidekh C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.9+73 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1347
7.9Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1297
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.95 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

35 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Chidekh C.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Janvier M.

Janvier M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Chidekh C.

Serve advantage — Chidekh C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
30
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
71
Break points won·Slight edge
9
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
53
8
Tiebreaks·Even
12
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
79

Chidekh C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Janvier M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on COURT 4 · not before Not Before 1:30 PM · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Seggerman R. v Brady P.
  2. 2Bass F. v Herman L.
  3. 3Chidekh C. v Janvier M.This match
  4. 4Weightman O. v Gray A.

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.