Clement Chidekh vs Alastair Gray — Nottingham 4 Semi-final
Chidekh C.
Clement Chidekh faces Alastair Gray in the Nottingham 4 semi-final on grass. Clement Chidekh holds the paper edge — ranked #205, a roughly 70-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Chidekh C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Clement Chidekh dropped just 4 games past Ivan Ivanov.
- Surface form: Clement Chidekh 5 of 9, Alastair Gray 6 of 9 on grass recently — Alastair Gray the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Clement Chidekh carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadChidekh C.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Gray A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.