Jesper De Jong vs Joao Fonseca — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
Jesper De Jong
NED
Jesper De Jong
#106ATP
1711ELO
1536Grass ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWW
0 — 3
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 3rd on
Joao Fonseca
BRA24
Joao Fonseca
#26ATP
1928ELO
1686Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
De Jong J.
1-6 5-7 4-6
Fonseca J.
De Jong J.
1540
Fonseca J.
6763

Joao Fonseca defeated Jesper De Jong in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-1, 7-5, 6-4 victory on the grass courts. Fonseca hit 10 aces and converted 50% of his break points, while De Jong converted 17%. Fonseca won 77% of his first-serve points and broke De Jong's serve four times to secure the win.

Key context

  • Match story: Joao Fonseca came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
De Jong J.Fonseca J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
57%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.8
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Jong J.Fonseca J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
36
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
95
Break points won·Slight edge
19
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
De Jong J.14%
Fonseca J.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fonseca J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Jong J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Fonseca J.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Grass Elo 1534
Surface ELO
6.9+152 Grass Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1928
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.24 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Jong J.Fonseca J.
Freshness·Even
82
83

De Jong J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw