Tristan Schoolkate vs Joao FonsecaCanada Masters Round of 128

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#149ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$246kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Schoolkate T.
7-6 6-4
Fonseca J.
Schoolkate T.
7762
Fonseca J.
6540

Tristan Schoolkate defeated Joao Fonseca 7-6 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Schoolkate T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Schoolkate T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Schoolkate T.Fonseca J.
38
Serve
47
11
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Dominant
0
43
Deciding sets·Even
85
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.1Hard Elo 1514
Surface ELO
9.9+399 Hard Elo edge
0.4Overall Elo 1549
ELO gap
9.6Overall Elo 1928
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
8.2
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
89

Schoolkate T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 66 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%